EU Referendum stats Migration

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EU Migration and facts
So we have all heard lots of so called talk about the EU stats

I have studied the stats for some years and found it of interest. EU migration is of interest to many



I look at the figures that ONS put out in November prior to the launch of the campaign for the referendum

November's Bulletin from ONS

The information below can be found on the ONS Archives

"

Net long-term international migration = +336,000 (up 82,000 from YE June 2014) in the year ending (YE) June 2015.
Immigration = 636,000 (up 62,000 from YE June 2014).
Emigration = 300,000 (down 20,000 from YE June 2014).
The net migration figure was a statistically significant increase from 254,000 in YE June 2014 and remains the highest net migration on record. This is a result of a statistically significant increase in immigration (from 574,000 in YE June 2014) and a decrease in emigration (from 320,000 in YE June 2014 (not statistically significant)).
Net migration of EU citizens showed a statistically significant increase to 180,000 (up 42,000 from YE June 2014). Non-EU net migration also had a statistically significant increase, to 201,000 (up 36,000).
The increase in long-term international immigration included a statistically significant increase for EU citizens to 265,000 (up 42,000), and an increase for non-EU citizens to 286,000 (up 17,000) (not statistically significant).
294,000 people immigrated for work in YE June 2015, a statistically significant increase of 53,000 from 241,000 in YE June 2014 continuing the upward trend since March 2013. Of these, 64% (187,000) had a definite job to go to.
162,000 of those coming for work related reasons were from the EU. Of those coming with a definite job, 101,000 were EU citizens, a statistically significant increase of 22,000 on YE June 2014. A further 54,000 of those coming for a definite job were non-EU citizens, also a statistically significant increase (of 11,000) compared to YE June 2014 estimates.
50,000 Romanian and Bulgarian (EU2) citizens immigrated to the UK in YE June 2015, a statistically significant increase of 19,000 from YE June 2014. Of the 50,000 EU2 citizens who came to the UK, 42,000 (84%) of them came for work related reasons.
Latest employment statistics show estimated employment of EU nationals (excluding British) living in the UK was 2.0 million in July to September 2015, 324,000 higher than the same quarter last year. Non-EU nationals in employment remained broadly similar at 1.2 million, and the total number of British nationals in employment increased by 122,000 to 28.1 million. Therefore, three-quarters of the growth in employment over the last year was accounted for by foreign nationals. (These growth figures represent the NET change in the number of people in employment, not the proportion of new jobs that have been filled by non-UK workers.)
In YE Sep 2015, total work-related visas granted (non-EU nationals, main applicants) rose by 6% to 122,909 including a 4,105 (8%) increase to 54,174 for skilled work (Tier 2) visas.
There were 862,000 National Insurance number (NINo) registrations to adult overseas nationals in YE September 2015, an increase of 194,000 (29%) on the previous year."
Comprisons are available on the theme and I have provided additional posts

The question of whether the Migration is EU or not EU them comes in this graphic

This provides us again with stats over the 10 year period when we look at the dates of changes within the EU rules it makes interesting reading

The doors opening to EU countries to work here sees an increase and yet the Non EU immigration drops from 2011 to 2013. It levels out in 2014



Migration and Work

This is a challenge for many within the U.K as local areas change

I live in Lincolnshire where some roads have many Polish shops and Lincoln is not alone in this. However what are the arguments about Benefits and work

"Immigration for work
For long-term international migration flows the most commonly stated reason for immigration to the UK is work (Figure 7). LTIM estimates showed a statistically significant increase from 241,000 to 294,000, the highest reported estimate in the series (but users should be aware that no revisions were made to separate immigration and emigration estimates at the time the net migration estimates were revised - ONS analysis of the differences between the Census and population estimates suggest immigration figures could have been higher in the mid-2000s as a result of migration from Eastern Europe).

IPS estimates show increases for both EU and non-EU citizens immigrating for work-related reasons although neither was statistically significant. Around 58% of immigrants arriving for work were EU citizens, 24% were non-EU citizens and 18% were British citizens.

IPS estimates show that 162,000 EU citizens arrived for work in YE June 2015, up from 138,000 in YE June 2014. This increase has been driven by a statistically significant increase in EU2 citizens coming for work, from 24,000 to 42,000.

EU immigration for work began to increase following the EU Accession (enlargement) in 2004, from 65,000 in 2004, to 125,000 in 2007. There was a decline in EU immigration for work during 2008 and 2009, particularly among EU8 citizens, following which it remained steady at around 90,000 until 2012. Since then EU immigration for work has increased (Figure 8) particularly by EU2 and EU15 nationals."

Figure 8: Immigration to the UK for work-related reasons by citizenship, year ending June 2012 to year ending June 2015




National Insurance Number Registrations

National Insurance Registrations require an interview with DWP which requires the production of ID to obtain the number

For EU citizens, the number of NINo registrations in YE September 2015 was 655,000, an increase of 150,000 (30%) on the previous year. The 5 EU nationalities with the most new NINo registrations in YE September 2015 were:
Romanian (165,000)

Polish (122,000)

Italian (60,000)

Spanish (54,000)

Bulgarian (41,000)

Visas are required as a further additonal test .

For non-EU citizens, the number of NINo registrations in YE September 2015 was 206,000, an increase of 45,000 (28%) on the previous year. The 5 non-EU nationalities with the most new NINo registrations in YE September 2015 were:

Indian (37,000)

Australian (14,000)

Chinese (14,000)

Pakistani (14,000)

Nigerian (12,000)"

Websites for Welfare -Recruitment-Employment Resources

Welfare Reform and Job search support have been a passion of mine for many years. However for the first time I have decided to share some of the sites that I have developed over recent years. You will note a common themes amongst them

Job Search Agent  

Job Search Agent supports Job Seekers with their Registration & Job Alerts on Recruitment sites. The service provides a review option ensuring candidates maintain an interest in the vacancies being emailed to them

Welfare Support

Welfare Benefit Support

I undertook training with the CAB on Universal Credit and Social Security Law. I have had success as featured on recent posts in Appealing sanctions as well as Habitual Residency Test & Industrial Accident Benefits

Support.benefits2work.com

Support.benefits2work provides support for clients registering with research for Businesses based on ONS & DWP information and publication.

Christian Welfare Support

A series of pages with different areas of support that Churches and Christian fellowships may have an interest in. CAP, Foodbanks, Job Clubs, Welfare Benefits & Statistics. 

Benefits2work.com

Benefits2work.com is probably the domain that has featured the most over the years. A site that has been promoted and has its own Youtube and Facebook pages. It has its Content management system with the ability to post Jobs and carries posts from Welfare news for the last few years. Registration is free and information can be of use on many subjects.

IVS

IVS looks at the international aspect of Migrating workers arriving in the U.K.

The Focus on this site is supporting Graduate level Educated workers find suitable employment in the U.K The majority are I.T skilled clients.

It's received the financial  Go ahead this weekend to become an independent site. Working closely with Gabriel Elombah who is based in London 

EU Immigration -David Cameron responds to statistics

Highlights of the speach

EU migrants to the U.K will not be able to for 4 years

• Access Universal Credit, JSA or Tax Credits
• Wait for social Housing for 4 years
• Will be deported if they are job less after 
• All EU immigrants have to have a job offer before they come to the U.K

This in many ways is a direct responce to yesterdays statistics
-

1. Net long-term migration to the UK was estimated to be 260,000 in the year ending June 2014, a statistically significant increase from 182,000 in the previous 12 months. 

While net migration has increased since the most recent low of 154,000 in the year ending September 2012, it remains below the peak of 320,000 in the year ending June 2005.

583,000 people immigrated to the UK in the year ending June 2014, a statistically significant increase from 502,000 in the previous 12 months. There were statistically significant increases in immigration of EU (up 45,000) and non-EU (up 30,000) citizens.

An estimated 323,000 people emigrated from the UK in the year ending June 2014. Long-term emigration has been relatively stable since 2010. 

There was a statistically significant increase in immigration for work (up 45,000 to 247,000), driven by increases for non-EU citizens (up 14,000), EU2 citizens (up 11,000) and EU15 (up 10,000). Estimated employment of EU nationals (excluding British) resident in the UK was 16% higher in July to September 2014 compared to the same quarter in 2013.

National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations to adult overseas nationals increased by 12% to 668,000 in the year ending September 2014 from the previous year. Romanian citizens had the highest number of registrations (104,000), followed by Polish citizens (98,000).

> The Romanian citizens rights changed at beginning of the year

32,000 Romanian and Bulgarian (EU2) citizens immigrated to the UK in the year ending June 2014, a statistically significant increase from 18,000 in the previous 12 months.

>Based on the changes in their EU status

Immigration for study remained stable (176,000) in the year ending June 2014.

The statistically significant increase of 30,000 in immigration of non-EU citizens to 272,000 was in part driven by an increase in immigration to accompany/join others up 19,000 to 54,000. This follows a steady decline in non-EU immigration since the recent peak of 334,000 in the year ending September 2011. 

1. Work and study visas grants continued to rise in the year ending September 2014, by 6% (+9,500) and 3% (+6,100) respectively. These trends reflected higher levels of both skilled work visas granted and university sponsored applications.

> Visas are not required by EU citizens

There were 24,300 asylum applications in the year ending September 2014, an increase of 2% compared with the previous 12 months (23,800), but low relative to the 2002 peak (84,100).

There is a catch 22 that many EU citizens come to the U.K looking for work and often take the work that is at the lower end of the pay scale that fits within the Working Family Tax Credit eligibility

Secondly this may all take a long time to implement. 

UK Migration -where is it happening?

Migration has been a political hot subject in the U.K for some time. Indeed, the figures make interesting reading that have been published today.
UKIP have long made it a political issue so these figures make an interesting comment.
When we hear that Polish Nationality and Indian Nationalities have become a large group in the area and affecting the public services we can see or at least observe the changes here.

In some areas the need to communicate in some languages may be of Benefit. Look at the map. Whilst the figures for the census are a few years ago now and the Bulgarian and Romanian communities have only recently had the same opportunities as the A8 nations it is worthy of reflection



Language is a key factor in certain areas. I observe that Boston in Lincolnshire has Polish and Lithuanian as key languages. Does your area reflect the changes that have occured?